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Commitment of Traders Report 29Sep23
Derivatives positioning in the most important equity, fixed income, FX and commodity markets
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Fallacy Alarm
A wild scenario for the Treasury Yield Curve
What if current deficit spending is indeed sustainable?
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Fallacy Alarm
6
IonQ: I believe this thing is real.
Performing calculations by manipulating atoms that exist in more than one state at the same time and that communicate with each other magically over…
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Fallacy Alarm
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The Tesla Transformation 2030 (incl. Excel Model)
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2
What is a fair P/E ratio for Tesla?
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5
Enough with the Fear Porn already.
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12
This is where 2023 differs from 2008.
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20
TSLA 1Q23: 3 months nope, 3 years dope
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4
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Oh Canada...
Deluded monetary policy is clouding actual economic conditions. But it's not as bleak as many people think. Inflation is actually not an issue which…
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Fallacy Alarm
2
The fate of this bull market
Is there even a difference between fiscal and monetary stimulus?
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Fallacy Alarm
TSLA: Big upgrade from Morgan Stanley!
Foreshadowing a major run in the stock?
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Fallacy Alarm
11
C3 AI 1Q24: Conman Cubed?
A pure AI story stock, far from a business model validation via profitability and cash flow breakeven. With a management team that shows more interest…
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Fallacy Alarm
3
Winnebago: Short squeeze ahead? (incl. Excel valuation model)
Bears are doubling down. But it hasn't worked well for them so far. The stock has been robust recently. The odds favor a cyclical and structural rebound…
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Fallacy Alarm
3
Money Supply ≠ Liquidity
When you think liquidity, think credit, not money. It's still bull market fuel because it keeps growing. But in the end, does it even matter?
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Fallacy Alarm
10
Commitment of Traders Report 25Aug23
Derivatives positioning in the most important equity, fixed income, FX and commodity markets
 • 
Fallacy Alarm
Fallacy Alarm
Fallacy Alarm
High conviction concentrated growth investing. Blends single stock, macro and thematic research into powerful long and short ideas.
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