Fallacy Alarm

Home
Podcast
Models & Tools
Tesla Research
Other Single Stock Research
Macro Research
Innovation Platforms
Economic & Demographic History
Investment Strategy
Archive
About
Debt Deal Digest
Fiscal spending to remain an important driver for the bull market as hawks lack courage to reign in excessive deficits.
 • 
Fallacy Alarm
4
NVDA 1Q24: Key Takeaways
For bulls, this earnings release validates the stock's investment thesis. But it might also serve as a broader macro catalyst.
 • 
Fallacy Alarm
2
CAPREIT: Betting on the Canadian Century
Insatiable demand for housing meets insufficient supply, thereby creating the ultimate scarce asset: an affordable and practical place to live.
 • 
Fallacy Alarm
2
Most Popular
View all
What is a fair P/E ratio for Tesla?
 • Fallacy Alarm
5
Enough with the Fear Porn already.
 • Fallacy Alarm
12
TSLA 1Q23: 3 months nope, 3 years dope
 • Fallacy Alarm
4
The importance of identifying inflection points in growth stock investing
 • Fallacy Alarm
6
BTFP is insufficient.
 • Fallacy Alarm
9
New
Top
Community
The perfect storm is brewing.
A cocktail of disinflation, strong consumer balance sheets and cautious investor positioning will likely cause an explosive move in stock markets.
 • 
Fallacy Alarm
2
AirBnB: Defying the Disruptor's Deflation Dilemma
While public sentiment deteriorates, the investment thesis is actually getting stronger with a robust moat and impressive financial turnaround.
 • 
Fallacy Alarm
6
May'23 FOMC & CPI Update
Final curtain call for an absurd show.
 • 
Fallacy Alarm
2
Pumping Up the Heat: Carrier's Growth Transformation
Management is courageously buying into the residential energy transition, one of the biggest megatrends of our time. It will transform the company and…
 • 
Fallacy Alarm
Mobileye 1Q23: Cross-Read for Tesla FSD
What went wrong in Q1? Why does that matter for Tesla? What's the value of Tesla FSD when Mobileye's market cap is $30bn?
 • 
Fallacy Alarm
KRE: Banking on the Pivot
Bleak sentiment and unambitious valuation despite operating resilience.
 • 
Fallacy Alarm
Sell the rumor, buy the news?
Maximizing long term fleet value over short term earnings, market efficiency and a turnaround scenario for 2023 involving bottoming macro and investor…
 • 
Fallacy Alarm
5
Fallacy Alarm
High conviction concentrated growth investing combining research on innovation platforms, demography, macroeconomics and economic history.
Recommendations
View all 15
Investment Talk
Investment TalkConor Mac
The Pomp Letter
The Pomp LetterAnthony Pompliano
fx:macro
fx:macroFXMacroGuy
T
The Ideas Lab: New Ways To Understand Global MarketsKevin Coldiron
Investment Ideas by Antonio
Investment Ideas by AntonioAntonio Linares
© 2023 Fallacy Alarm
Privacy ∙ Terms ∙ Collection notice
Start WritingGet the app
Substack is the home for great writing