Fallacy Alarm

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Fallacy Alarm
How hot is the labor market really?

How hot is the labor market really?

What can we infer by looking at labor productivity, workforce age structure and rate of job creation?

Rene Bruentrup's avatar
Rene Bruentrup
Oct 06, 2022
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Fallacy Alarm
Fallacy Alarm
How hot is the labor market really?
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Today, initial unemployment claims, one of the key metrics that has been supportive of the strong labor market narrative came in at 219k, ahead of 203k consensus. Could be nothing. But could be something.

And job openings are dropping like a stone. I have mentioned in a previous article that I believe the absolute level of job openings might be misleadin…

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