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Jakob Krakel's avatar

Some brokers offer grey market trading for Strava. (For example IG Bank uses the market cap after the first day of trading as a surrogate for share price, which can be traded now as a CFD.)

1) Any thoughts on taking a position there?

2) Market cap implied in these contracts is currently 4.4B . Any thoughts on that?

Rene Bruentrup's avatar

Interesting, I didn't know that. Would have to look into whether that actually gives you a claim on the ticker once it goes public and what would happen to this derivative should Strava never actually go public. I am mentally fully prepared that this thing will go public at 10bn :D

Jakob Krakel's avatar

I asked ChatGPT to research these things for the CFDs on IG. Answers:

Contracts are cash settled against the closing price on first trading day. If no IPO before end of 2027, then the contract gets voided (reverted, I think).

No cost of carry, but large spreads (~4-5%). Margin for significant volume quickly approaches 100%. In the no-IPO case, one would baghold a long time without interest...

Yet, I am doing it.

David Benkert's avatar

As a runner, it's fantastic read.