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GDP vs. GDI
The discrepancy between these two economic gauges is so extreme that it has become an economic signal. What is it telling us?
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Fallacy Alarm
4
Debt Deal Digest
Fiscal spending to remain an important driver for the bull market as hawks lack courage to reign in excessive deficits.
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Fallacy Alarm
4
NVDA 1Q24: Key Takeaways
For bulls, this earnings release validates the stock's investment thesis. But it might also serve as a broader macro catalyst.
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Fallacy Alarm
2
CAPREIT: Betting on the Canadian Century
Insatiable demand for housing meets insufficient supply, thereby creating the ultimate scarce asset: an affordable and practical place to live.
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Fallacy Alarm
2
The perfect storm is brewing.
A cocktail of disinflation, strong consumer balance sheets and cautious investor positioning will likely cause an explosive move in stock markets.
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Fallacy Alarm
2
AirBnB: Defying the Disruptor's Deflation Dilemma
While public sentiment deteriorates, the investment thesis is actually getting stronger with a robust moat and impressive financial turnaround.
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Fallacy Alarm
6
May'23 FOMC & CPI Update
Final curtain call for an absurd show.
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Fallacy Alarm
2
Pumping Up the Heat: Carrier's Growth Transformation
Management is courageously buying into the residential energy transition, one of the biggest megatrends of our time. It will transform the company and…
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Fallacy Alarm
Mobileye 1Q23: Cross-Read for Tesla FSD
What went wrong in Q1? Why does that matter for Tesla? What's the value of Tesla FSD when Mobileye's market cap is $30bn?
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Fallacy Alarm
April 2023
KRE: Banking on the Pivot
Bleak sentiment and unambitious valuation despite operating resilience.
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Fallacy Alarm
Sell the rumor, buy the news?
Maximizing long term fleet value over short term earnings, market efficiency and a turnaround scenario for 2023 involving bottoming macro and investor…
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Fallacy Alarm
5
TSLA 1Q23: 3 months nope, 3 years dope
Management is doubling down on long-term bets. It might inflict short-term pain on us. But it has huge potential.
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Fallacy Alarm
4
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