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Enough with the Fear Porn already.
Nobody will lose their deposits. Somebody will buy SVB's net assets (incl. deposits). We will quickly move on from this. The Fed hikes until something…
Mar 12, 2023
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Rene Bruentrup
21
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Enough with the Fear Porn already.
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12
This is where 2023 differs from 2008.
Back then it was a Private Debt Bubble. Now, it's a Public Debt Bubble, which has profound implications.
Jul 18, 2023
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Rene Bruentrup
19
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This is where 2023 differs from 2008.
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20
Let's try to contextualize DeepSeek.
Demand for intelligence is infinite. But time is needed to unlock it. The risk is real that capacity is being overbuilt right now.
Jan 27
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Rene Bruentrup
14
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Let's try to contextualize DeepSeek.
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2
A closer look at stock bond correlation
For me, the most unexpected aspect of recent events has been that both bonds and stocks moved up together. My expectation for this year was that…
Dec 28, 2023
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Rene Bruentrup
19
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A closer look at stock bond correlation
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2
The fate of this bull market
Is there even a difference between fiscal and monetary stimulus?
Sep 13, 2023
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Rene Bruentrup
17
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The fate of this bull market
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Time to fertilize my portfolio
Investors are ignoring an industry that is crucial to feed 8bn people. Its leading players utilize economies of scale and high entry barriers to return…
Jan 9, 2024
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Rene Bruentrup
16
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Time to fertilize my portfolio
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4
Never hedge the most telegraphed risk.
Investors can't be complacent and attentive of inflation risks at the same time.
Mar 21, 2024
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Rene Bruentrup
15
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Never hedge the most telegraphed risk.
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The state of macro: A nuthouse with no hope?
Fixing inflation means getting deficits down. Rate cuts will therefore be disinflationary. When will the Fed understand that and act accordingly?
Apr 10, 2024
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Rene Bruentrup
14
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The state of macro: A nuthouse with no hope?
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11
Tesla: The Disney World for grown-ups
They have given up on their ambitious targets, if they ever serious pursued them. But if the product is in fact just selling dreams, they are performing…
Oct 11, 2024
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Rene Bruentrup
15
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Tesla: The Disney World for grown-ups
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16
February 2024 Market Strategy
Growth and Duration is all they want and the trade keeps winning. Until it won't. I am still betting that 2024 will be the Revenge of the Old Economy.
Feb 14, 2024
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Rene Bruentrup
15
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February 2024 Market Strategy
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3
Is 'Violence' the ultimate tail risk?
The West is giving up Christianity which weakens people's ability to forgive each other & themselves. Obsessed about group justice and confused about…
Sep 1, 2024
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Rene Bruentrup
15
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Is 'Violence' the ultimate tail risk?
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7
China is a No Touch!
An economic model failing in the wide open. Broken demographically, fiscally and structurally, this will likely underperform on the global stage for…
Feb 12, 2024
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Rene Bruentrup
13
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China is a No Touch!
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5
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