Fallacy Alarm

Fallacy Alarm

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🔎Why is gold pumping so hard?
And can that continue?
Dec 1 • 
Rene Bruentrup
🔎Americans have lost their mind.
You are the most privileged people in the history of mankind. Stop whining and live up to it.
Nov 26 • 
Rene Bruentrup
🔎Always go back or never look back?
There are only two types of investors. Mr. Market will punish the larger of the two groups.
Nov 20 • 
Rene Bruentrup
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Enough with the Fear Porn already.
Mar 12, 2023 • Rene Bruentrup
I'd stay far away from UnitedHealth.
Jun 24 • Rene Bruentrup
When Dollar Short-Squeeze?
Oct 6 • Rene Bruentrup
The US administration wants rates down.
Mar 7 • Rene Bruentrup
This is where 2023 differs from 2008.
Jul 18, 2023 • Rene Bruentrup
Should we be concerned about a potential crash of the Treasury Market?
May 12 • Rene Bruentrup
🔎November 2025 Market Strategy
The primary risk remains that markets continue to overweight inflation concerns while underpricing the probability of a deflationary turn.
Nov 19 • 
Rene Bruentrup
🔎Has there ever been a capex boom that didn't end in tears?
Spoiler alert: No.
Nov 14 • 
Rene Bruentrup
🔎Big Tech is uninvestable here.
Too expensive. Too much uncertainty. Too much in wrong incentives.
Nov 11 • 
Rene Bruentrup
🔎ROOT & LMND 3Q25: The best capital is no capital?🤷‍♂️
Or so it seems.
Nov 6 • 
Rene Bruentrup
🔎InMode: First the fat, then the skin.
Skin doesn't disappear as easily as fat. The GLP-1 boom should therefore trigger a boom for aesthetic treatments. This hasn't happened yet. It's a…
Nov 5 • 
Rene Bruentrup
🔎Turning tides
Don't underestimate the ongoing restructuring of the international trade system. It reverses one of the most powerful forces for asset flows and asset…
Oct 29 • 
Rene Bruentrup
🔎Cal-Maine Foods: We need eggs.
Protein is the supernutrient which makes eggs a superfood. Egg prices are volatile due to supply shocks such as the current bird flu. Cal-Maine can take…
Oct 24 • 
Rene Bruentrup
Fallacy Alarm
Fallacy Alarm
Blending single stock, macro and thematic research into powerful bull and bear cases.
Latest single stock research
Aurora Innovation
Airbnb
B Riley Financial
Better Home & Finance
Big Tech
BYD
Cal-Maine Foods
Carvana
Cerebras
CRISPR stocks
Eli Lilly/Novo Nordisk
EQT
goeasy
InMode
Meta
MicroStrategy
Nuscale/Oklo
Nutrien/CF Industries/Mosaic/FMC
NVIDIA
Opendoor Technologies
Peabody
Rocket Companies
Root/Lemonade
Sartorius
SQM/Albemarle
Summit Therapeutics
Tesla
Toyota
UnitedHealth

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